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Why do 90% of Web3 projects not survive their first year?

We have delivered 200+ Web3 projects and tracked their later destinies. Conclusion: Over 90% of projects are dormant or completely dead within a year. This isn't black Web3, it's real data. The reasons for failure are highly homogeneous.

Published:2026-06-18 02:46:2910min readAuthor:GrowBlocks Team
TG:@YY462855312Website:www.grow-blocks.comShare:

1. Going online is the peak

The most common failure pattern: The hype at launch is the peak of the entire project lifecycle.

  • 1.Before going liveMarketing hype, price surges, and the community goes wild
  • 2.A few weeks after launchThe freshness faded
  • 3.Without continuous operation, users churn and activity drops to zero
  • 4.After 3-6 monthsThe project has been quiet

A healthy Web3 project is just the beginning, not the end. But too many teams set going live as their goal—spending money and making products, then losing everything.

2. Treat tokens as products

Many projects put the cart before the horse: launch tokens first, then think about what tokens can do. As a result, the token has no real use cases, its value is unsupported, and when the price drops, the project collapses.

Truly sustainable projects: first create products that people use, then issue tokens—tokens incentivize product usage, not the product itself.

为什么 90% 的 Web3 项目活不过第一年

3. Severe insufficient operational investment

Many teams spend 80% of their budget on development, 10% on marketing, and 10% on operations. This ratio may be reasonable for Web2 SaaS, but completely opposite for Web3.

Web3 projects require ongoing community operations, content output, and collaborative expansion. Web3 projects without communities cannot survive, and community operations are daily dirty work.

为什么 90% 的 Web3 项目活不过第一年

4. Unbalanced team structure

Typical Failing Team Profile:

  • 1.3 technologies, 1 product, 0 operations
  • 2.The founder comes from a technical background and looks down on "operations" and "marketing."
  • 3.Believing that "good technology means users"

The real situation: Users come here not because of good skills, but because someone tells them what they have here. Projects without operations and content don't even have a chance to be seen.

5. Commonalities of Projects That Truly Survive

Several successful projects I have tracked share these common traits:

  • 1.Real value for users: solving real problems, not just "conceptual innovation"
  • 2.A complete team structure: technology + product + operations + BD all included
  • 3.Ongoing investment: 50%+ of the post-launch budget is allocated to operations and iteration
  • 4.Not dependent on coin price: Core business has cash flow or value beyond the price of the coin
  • 5.Facing regulation: Compliance planning is in place from the start, rather than waiting until problems arise to find solutions

There are no shortcuts in Web3. Projects that survive are essentially not much different from Web2 startups that survive—making things that people use, sustaining investment, having a complete team, and facing reality.

为什么 90% 的 Web3 项目活不过第一年
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GrowBlocks Technical Team
Focused on custom blockchain development for 10 years, with 200+ projects delivered covering exchanges, public chains, Layer2, wallets, and DApp development. This article is based on our real project delivery experience.

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